This blog is
about faith in certain religious facts. But
the sacred is of course, not the only area where faith is necessary. We are required to have faith in our car
mechanic, our doctor and of course our governments.
I have
chosen a small issue to illustrate how mistakes and lies run our lives. For those of us who cannot believe God, I say
there are many other areas where faith is not well rewarded.
The toxic tax is not a tax |
There is a
whopper of a mistake that has bought down two Prime Ministers, changed a
government and transfixed Australia for several years now – the alleged Carbon
Tax. The Carbon Tax, however, is not a
tax. On this error, Australian
governments have been made or broken. A former
Prime Minister has been inaccurately portrayed as a liar. And this week this blunder has consumed our
political life.
The
regulation of carbon emissions depends on two things: the price of emissions
(P) and the quantity (Q) of emissions.
Since the dawn of human history, carbon could be emitted for free (P=0)
and so Q was high. As with most things,
there is an inverse relationship between P and Q. The lower the P is the more Q there is
demanded. Thus, we can regulate carbon
by attacking either P or Q. One could
tax emissions which would cause the P to rise and then cause the Q of carbon to
decline. Or one could control the Q of
carbon emissions which would lead the P to rise. Limiting Q is what an emissions trading
scheme (ETS) does and is not a tax. An
ETS limits the quantity and says nothing explicit about the price.
The
difference between attacking the P (tax) and Q (ETS) is both real and
political. The real difference is to do
with certainty and flexibility. An ETS
gives a government certainty on the emissions heading into the atmosphere. Q is set by the government through the carbon
pollution cap. This is set by the
government and so the government has certainty on Q. The corporations don’t get certainty but they
do get flexibility to trade for more units.
A tax reverses these attributes.
Corporations get certainty from a tax for they can know how much they
will have to pay whereas the government does not get certainty for it is always
unclear how much corporations will lower their Q as a result of a higher
P. But the most important difference
between a tax and an ETS is political.
The “T word” produces an odium in Western democracies that has profound,
even toxic, political implications.
The
Australian scheme introduced in the Clean
Energy Act 2011 is not a tax. In its
essence it regulates Q not P. For
example the biggest taxpayer, the electricity generator GDF Suez, lodged carbon
units with the quantity of 25.8 million carbon units in 2012-13. It is all about Q (James Bond would be rapt).
For the
first years, the cost of exceeding the allocated quantity by the 500 regulated
corporations is fixed and this makes the scheme look a little tax like. But in its essence the Clean Energy Act is an ETS for it restricts Q and for a short time
fixes the cost of exceeding the carbon units allotted by the scheme. (An addition myopically insisted on by the
Greens) It is not a tax because of its Q
oriented essence even if the price of exceeding Q is fixed for a short
time. It is not even correct to call it
a short term tax/ETS hybrid. It is
driven by carbon Q and therefore is not a tax on P.
So when
Clive Palmer and others say that they want to scrap the tax and look at an ETS
they are talking nonsense. We have an
ETS already.
Political
discourse inevitably is conducted with many bungles informing debate. The world is complex and mistakes are
common. The mislabeling of the Clean
Energy Act as a tax is a howler. On this
misunderstanding has swung the fate of a few governments. We need to understand once and for all that
this tax is not a tax.
And what do
we learn about the theory of knowledge (epistemology)? I think we learn that flawed knowledge flowers
when knowledge is difficult or hard to obtain.
We don’t know about being dead so there is much faith in all sorts of weird
but consoling ideas. The economics of a
difficult subject like the pricing of carbon is inaccessible and so complete
crap dominates debate.
What is your
view?
Do you agree
that faith flowers when the facts are hard to get?
Is faith in
the political debate as irrational as belief in God?
Do you agree
that we have a carbon trading scheme already or am I wrong or just pedantic?
Over to you
guys…